The US anticipated that the new political leadership will promote US imperial interests under the disguise of “decentralization”, to the weakening of the central government and the fracture of Pakistan’s fragile federal structure.US National Intelligence Council and the CIA forecast a “Yugoslav-like fate” for Pakistan “in a decade with the country riven by civil war, bloodshed and inter-provincial rivalries, as seen recently in Balochistan.” According to the NIC-CIA, Pakistan is slated to become a “failed state” by 2015, “as it would be affected by civil war, complete Talibanization and struggle for control of its nuclear weapons”. The US course consists in fomenting social, ethnic and factional divisions and political fragmentation, including the territorial breakup of Pakistan. This course of action is also dictated by US war plans in relation to both Afghanistan and Iran.
The article also discusses covert support to Baloch nationalists in order for the US to keep Pakistan away from oil and gas reserves. There are other articles in the National Security which give in-depth analysis of these designs and highlight that Pakistan’s strategic asset of Gwadar port and its relations with China are among the reasons that those who can redraw the map of the world want to redraw the map of Pakistan.